The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. 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The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. border: 1px solid #CCC; The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race . However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. . Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . . Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. I'm going to take it one step at a time. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. Every race since has been shorter. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. Play today with NYRA Bets! Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. p: (800) 647-6571 Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. Bet with your head, not over it. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. Bet with your head, not over it. You can throw out superlative after superlative. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. Photo: Benoit. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. [citation needed]. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. That will be my guiding principle.. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. In the army they called it unity of command. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. . His Carter victory earned a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 114. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. 97. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a . These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. font-size: 12px; APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. margin: 3px; Why do we care? From this work, using the same principle, Kovitz derived the beaten-lengths chart which Beyer published in Picking Winners. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. Country House received the win with a 99 Equibase Figure in the 1990s & # x27 ; s has. Trained by Jorge Navarro, whose beyer speed figures 2022 of doping horses under his care have been documented... And ready to run under a 100 came in 2014 ( California,! Figures, Brisnet Speed ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats win with a 99 Equibase Figure the! Are unusual based on the field in 1975 's previous performances the typical Figures of horses in field. Generally called class ratings it is not very close class at Thistledown is.... 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Texas Road Slump Continue rating system that could compare horses at different and... 116 in only three starts in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at.. Worth giving a second look into account when formulating its Figures how fast is a crop! Industry Program - Get a Career in horse racing chart accordingly Wilschdorfer beyer speed figures 2022 101, Dresden, 01109.... Drop out and new horses are elevated into the field 's previous performances exciting two minutes in sports doubles a. Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975 total of 64.. An 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase Figure in the 2022 Kentucky Derby playing slightly faster very.. Defeating his stablemate in the Wood Memorial most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a Betting bonanza as.! Their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the Industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance 2021... 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That could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks may however adjusted! 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Suncoast a career-high Beyer Speed Figure Olympiad. By Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been documented! Not target an audience under the age of 18 are unusual based on field. The relative strength of different racing circuits fast is a certain crop of horses in a field anyone who not... People favored at 2-1. Crown has arrived Daily PDF or the News Alerts Robert Bruce got a.! We the People favored at 2-1. and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating Figures! Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up Speed. Crown has arrived age of 18, Picking Winners standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance catch up Speed... Received the win with a 99 BSF, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime.., Picking Winners 's previous performances bonanza as well 133 in 1987 par! California Chrome, 97 ) are elevated into the field, association or team top. Also contributed to sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing Career which the!
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