Jerry Jeudy (23.4). He also saw four or more targets in nine of the Texans' final 10 games of the season. In the 11 games that Waller played in full, Renfrow reached 60 yards just twice. to open his rookie season. Brown was able to average a career-high 8.1 targets per game, but that still forced efficiency more than his WR1 peers as it ranked 16th at the position. Stefon Diggs (28.8). 32.6% of his PPR points came via touchdown production alone, the highest rate in his career and just the second time he has been over 20%. Lazard has never caught more than 3.3 passes per game in his career. Johnson has amassed a gaudy 313 targets over the past two seasons. These wideouts are in the same age bracket as the previous tier, but are your more volatile, splash-play-dependent wideouts over stacking target volume. Marvin Jones (32.5). Peoples-Jones will need some dominoes to fall in his favor to command targets before being archetypes into Clevelands version of Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but the addition of Deshaun Watson is a major plus. Coming off an up-and-down 2021, Hill has shown he elevates all quarterbacks that he plays with, but also will have an offensive climate that was not entirely as strong as the one he is leaving behind in Kansas City. Deebo Samuel (26.6) Johnson has amassed a gaudy 313 targets over the past two seasons. On throws 15 yards or further downfield, Goff has ranked 35th (31.9%), 29th (38.4%), and 30th (39.0%) in completion rate over the past three seasons. Shi Smith (23.8) Chark (25.9) Smith (64-916-5) proved he can be lead receiver with a diverse route tree right away as he demonstrated in college. After finishing outside of the top-50 scorers in each of his first two seasons in the league, Hunter Renfrow shot up to WR10 overall last season (WR17 in points per game), catching 103 passes for 1,038 yards and nine touchdowns. Boyds 5.9 targets per game were his lowest since 2017 while his receiving yardage per game has declined from the previous season in each of the past three seasons. Even with the loss of Brady, Evans should be in line for a significant target bump while we inherently know a Bruce Arians-led passing game will remain aggressive downfield. Jones averaged 11.4 yards per catch and 6.9 yards per target (his lowest rates since his rookie season), but nobody survived the Jacksonville offense last season. Lamb went from averaging 17.6 points per game prior, down to 10.6 per game to close the season after that stretch. DeVonta Smith (23.8) Then, he went on an all-time heater, catching 51 passes for 560 yards and five touchdowns (with a rushing score) over his final six games, posting five top-10 scoring weeks over that span. Jamison Crowder (29.2) Courtland Sutton (26.9) 32.6% of his PPR points came via touchdown production alone, the highest rate in his career and just the second time he has been over 20%. Thomas received a gaudy 32.1% of the team targets with seven or more targets in every game but one (which also happened to be the infamous Kendall Hinton game). Ihmir Smith-Marsette (23.0) Just 17.5% of Thomass career targets have come from passers other than Brees, but Thomas has remained a hyper-efficient target no matter who the quarterback has been. Tim Patrick has led the Broncos in touchdown receptions in each of the past two seasons, posting solid campaigns of 51-742-6 and 53-734-5. The development of Amon-Ra St. Brown last year is much discussed, but Nico Collins also had a solid season that sets him up well entering 2022. While some of the overall volume of targets can be credited to the limitations of the Pittsburgh offense and late-career Ben Roethlisberger, do not let that cloud the fact that Johnson is one of the leagues best wide receivers at getting open on his own merit as well. Nico Collins Fantasy Fit with Texans. Jameson Williams (21.5). Cooper Kupp will be a talking point this offseason for anticipated regression coming off scoring the second-most points per game (25.9) for a wide receiver in league history, but even with recoil, he is in a strong position to sustain being a top-end fantasy option. He also was banged up, but an early-season suspension and the addition of Marquise Brown cloud Hopkins short-term outlook while pushing him closer to that apex age cliff. In a startup, I am more inclined to shop in this tier than the one above, but the previous tier carries more instant probability in contributing to winning titles as solo contributors. Staying in Los Angeles, Williams is a true boom-or-bust WR2 with plenty of spike-week upside. John Hesterman J. Hesterman Dynasty League . Our next tier has veteran wideouts with meat left on the bone of their careers, do not carry the same WR1 cache as the previous tier, but offer the ability to run hot in stretches and deliver spike weeks that can tilt weeks for gamers. Nico Collins or Adam Thielen Who Should I Draft? Will Fuller (28.4) The point of no return for alpha wideouts has historically been age 32. . Julio Jones still averaged 14.0 yards per catch, 9.0 yards per target, and was 25th in yards per route run (1.84), so he can still play. From Week 7 onwards, Collins saw 60% of the snaps in all but one game. Dyami Brown (22.8) After Brandin Cooks and I guess Randall Cobb, the Texans have little at the receiver position, so Collins should enter the 2021 preseason as the frontrunner for the No. Claypool remained stagnant to his rookie efficiency, posting nearly identical catch rates, yards per catch, reception, and yardage per game. These players may never be the top-scorer at their position in a given season but have strong floors with plenty of upside of their own to produce multiple WR1 scoring seasons. Davis has only played two-thirds of the offensive snaps in 14 career games to open his career but has a 50-816-11 line in those games on 87 targets while averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game. The first and obvious pro is that Thomas remained a target magnet. Marquise Brown (25.2) Tyreek Hill was also traded this offseason, heading to the Dolphins. Through 11 games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns. Jalen Reagor (23.7) Godwin will get another season with Tom Brady, but will also be coming off an ACL injury that ended his season in mid-December, pushing his recovery up against the start of the 2022 season. Renfrows opportunity was maximized by Darren Waller missing six games, the midseason loss of Henry Ruggs, and the failure of Bryan Edwards to make a second-year leap. also had a lost season in 2021, playing just 65 snaps, due to a finger injury that was still an issue earlier this month. Mooney has limitations in becoming a full-fledged alpha (he was dead last in contested catch rate among qualifying receivers in 2021), but theres an easy path to seeing Mooney smoke everyone in this tier in the short-term target volume. The downside is he has scored just three touchdowns total in those games and has never been strong at creating his own touchdowns on raw athleticism. Lazard has played four games without Adams active the past three seasons, posting games of 4-65-1 (five targets), 3-42-0 (four), 5-42-0 (five), and 6-146-1 (eight). 2022 Target Share. Woods still only managed to top 70 yards in two of his nine games. Kevin OConnell, who comes from an offensive tree that has lived in 11 personnel. We still need Zach Wilson to make a jump in play to aid Moore breaking out as Moore and Wilson connected on just 19-of-42 targets (45.2%) while Moore secured 24-of-35 targets (68.6%) from other New York passers. Only James Washington was added in free agency. Samuel is a one-of-one player at his position right now, but even if his unique usage remains intact, asking him to replicate his insane efficiency from 2021 is a tall ask. Joining the Browns, Cooper is set up to be a lead wide receiver while the Browns also just acquired Deshaun Watson. Securing day two draft investment, David Bell keeps hope alive for the wishful comparisons to Keenan Allen and Jarvis Landry as productive wideouts with bottom-rung measurables while avoiding what happened to Tylan Wallace and Tyler Johnson the previous two seasons. Quintez Cephus (24.4) He had a groin injury in training camp that stunted the start of his season and limited him to just 84 offensive snaps all season. D.J. McLaurin was completely feast or famine, posting four top-10 scoring weeks on the year and finishing WR30 or lower in every other game with eight weeks as the WR50 or lower.McLaurin ranked 13th among wideouts in targets (130) in 2021, but just 62.7% were deemed catchable, the lowest rate of all wideouts to see 100 or more targets last season. In 2022 the quarterback class looks very weak, making him a great dynasty stash for 2022 and beyond. We are still in the open of his career, but Jeudy has now appeared in 26 games and has been a top-30 scorer in four of them. Keenan Allen (30.3) Denver locked up Sutton with an extension before he could free agency, while getting attachment to a quarterback finally willing to push the downfield can give Sutton a runway similar to Mike Williams a year ago. Van Jefferson (26.1) After finishing outside of the top-50 scorers in each of his first two seasons in the league, shot up to WR10 overall last season (WR17 in points per game), catching 103 passes for 1,038 yards and nine touchdowns. Dynasty Outlook Collins is a mid to late third-rounder in rookie only drafts and is going in the 17th round of startups. He found the end zone a total of 16 times, with just three coming from inside of 10 yards. After a 61-631-4 season as a rookie on 98 targets, Mooney caught 81-of-140 targets for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns this past season and closed as the WR31 in points per game for fantasy. Finishing the season as the RB5, Conner ended the year with 18 total TDs and averaged 14.7 fantasy PPG. Michael Thomas (29.5) Marquez Stevenson (24.5) Denver locked up Sutton with an extension before he could free agency, while getting attachment to a quarterback finally willing to push the downfield can give Sutton a runway similar to Mike Williams a year ago. That said, he is coming off a career-high eight touchdowns. just continues to get there every season. Your scope of duties: Creating a vision, strategy and operational goals for the subordinate business unit responsible for the R&D area breakout last season when he opened the season with 30-398-3 over the opening four games, but he inevitably was caught up once again in the riptide of an offense with subpar quarterback play once Sam Darnolds deal with the devil in September expired. These wideouts are a lesser version of Tier 13, but all our in the same mold that they will be on rosters, get second and third contracts in the league, and can run into extended playing time through situation or injuries. fought through an injury-filled rookie campaign in which he missed six games, but there were some flashpoints where we saw the ceiling potential for Moore. Calvin Austin (23.5). My secondary tier of wideouts is the group of alpha WR1 options that are approaching the age apex for elite scorers at the positions. Toney was only able to appear in 10 games due to various injuries and managed more than 40 yards in just two games, but in the small sample of him receiving playing time while healthy, he jumped off the screen at his best. A.J. Nelson Agholor (29.3). CeeDee Lamb has caught a lot of flack this offseason in fantasy circles due to the close of his second season in which he caught 32 passes for 376 yards and zero touchdowns over the final seven games in the regular season. Just 60.6% of Robinsons limited targets were deemed catchable (84th among wideouts) while posting 35 yards or fewer in 9-of-12 games. He secured 17-of-41 (41.5%), which was 27th out of 35 wide receivers with 20 or more contested targets. Drake London (21.1) Not everything went poorly for the Bears last season as. Allen turns 30 this April, but he has a play style that will keep him viable with attachment to Justin Herbert for the final stretch of his apex. Adam Thielen (32.0) 3 wide receiver job, and that role could have under-appreciated value given that the Texans don't have a proven tight end and Cooks and Cobbs are perpetual injury concerns. Denzel Mims (24.9). 2021 provided no further clarity on JuJu Smith-Schuster potentially bouncing back as he appeared in just five games due to a shoulder injury. This tier of wideouts has shown the capability to be premier WR1 options on a weekly basis over the start of their careers but have yet to put together that full fantasy campaign wire-to-wire just yet. Second-Year Breakout Candidates: Nico Collins (2022 Fantasy Football) Nico Collins commanded end-zone targets and high air-yard throws in 2021 but ultimately never put together a true. Only Jonathan Taylor (33) and Antonio Gibson (21) have scored more touchdowns than Davis (18) so far from the 2020 draft class. He averaged 17.7 points per game over his final seven games while finishing as a WR3 or better in all but one of those games with three WR1 scoring weeks. Team W L T PCT PF PA; Jacksonville: 9: 8: 0.529: 404: 350 . Amari Rodgers (22.9) also gave us some spark in 2021, averaging 15.7 yards per catch and 9.2 yards per target with the Cardinals while giving us nine top-40 scoring weeks. will be a talking point this offseason for anticipated regression coming off scoring the second-most points per game (25.9) for a wide receiver in league history, but even with recoil, he is in a strong position to sustain being a top-end fantasy option. JaMarr Chase (Age 22.5) Just 47.4% of his targets were deemed catchable in his small sample of 2021 after 63.0% in 2020 (113th among wideouts with 25 or more targets) and 65.8% in 2019 (81st). His attachment to Patrick Mahomes and this offense will afford him much more space in the middle of the field, giving him more than enough enticement once again as an upside fantasy option on the WR3/WR4 line. With the Bucs playing for a Super Bowl or bust, expect them to ensure Godwin is fully ready before forcing him onto the field. The next week, he then caught 10-of-13 targets for 189 yards and it appeared we were about to experience something Odell Beckham-esque for the remainder of the season. For context, Cooks is currently the WR20 with an ADP of 52. Hamler (23.1) Arizona has changed his role frequently during his tenure, but he will hit free agency here after posting a career-high 63 catches and 809 yards out of the slot in 2021. 2022-10-03-07:00. has consistently found a path to strong final-season numbers, posting another 1,175 yards and eight touchdowns on 73 catches. After 11 trips to the paint in 2020, Claypool scored just two times last season. As we begin to lay the foundation for the 2022 offseason, here we are going to lay out Dynasty positional tiers with a synopsis of those tiers. Green (34.1) Our next tier of rookie wideouts that carry more hope than the remaining veterans available at the position. Michael Gallup suffered an ACL injury in early January. Even if Odell Beckham returns, he will also be coming off a major injury. Hopkins was able to stay afloat for fantasy weekly since he still scored eight times in 10 games. Cooks and Mills connected on 71.1% of their targets with five touchdowns and a 101.6 rating while Cooks and Tyrod Taylor connected on 58.3% with one score and an 83.0 rating. Kupp also did not completely come out of nowhere in terms of performing at a WR1 level, as we have the front half of the 2019 season to draw back on for the upside he had in his range of outcomes. Then, he went on an all-time heater, catching 51 passes for 560 yards and five touchdowns (with a rushing score) over his final six games, posting five top-10 scoring weeks over that span. Post draft, Skyy Moore gets the enticing attachment to Patrick Mahomes while Marquez Valdes-Scantling is the only Kansas City wideout currently signed past this season. But Toney suffered an ankle injury in that game that derailed the remainder of his season when he reaggravated it after catching three passes for 36 yards on the opening the drive in Week 6, appearing in just four games the rest of the season. had the most Kadarius Toney rookie season we could have gotten based on his collegiate profile. He has 97 or more receptions in each of his past five seasons. Returning to Dallas was a best-case outcomes as he has to prove his health and upside again. Rams also were an aggressive offense near the end zone with, ranking fourth in red zone passing rate (59.2%), while second in pass rate inside of the 10-yard line (58.4%), and first in pass rate inside of the 5-yard line (65.9%). . Shenault was mismanaged this season immediately following the injury to D.J. It finally looked as if we were going to have our. Rondale Moore did not do anything to alleviate the concerns we had for him transitioning to the NFL, even in an offense that was suited to get the most out of him. There is plenty of room for nuance based on whether you are drafting a team from scratch versus an established roster that should also be taken into consideration as another layer here in application to your own rosters. was averaging 3.8 catches for 54.7 yards per game. With Tyreek Hill now on board to compromise Waddles overall target share and potentially stunt his growth downfield, Waddle has added volatility as a WR2 option, especially in non-PPR formats. Waddle turned those receptions into a modest 1,015 yards (9.8 yards per catch) with an average depth of target of 7.0 yards, managing just 12 targets all season 20 or further yards downfield. Jaylen Waddle set a new record for receptions in a season (104) by a rookie while being asked to operate as a near the line of scrimmage asset due to the position the Miami offense was forced into due to their offensive line and surrounding playmakers. Things are wide open in Indianapolis behind Michael Pittman for Alec Pierce to contribute. In a year where the WR rookie class made headlines, Collins flew under the radar and quietly flashed with 33 receptions and 446 yards. Odell Beckham (29.8) The 2021 season was an outright disaster for Allen Robinson. In the seven games that Waller missed or exited early, Renfrow averaged 7.1 catches for 79.9 yards per game as opposed to 5.5 catches for 48.8 yards per game otherwise. Brown is coming off his best NFL season, catching 91-of-146 targets for 1,008 yards and six touchdowns. Cedrick Wilson (26.8) during the draft last year, but absolutely nothing went right for him over the past year to invoke confidence moving forward outside of hope. DeVante Parker (29.6) He had a groin injury in training camp that stunted the start of his season and limited him to just 84 offensive snaps all season. A solid contributor, Boyds fantasy ceiling is now tied to either Chase or Higgins missing time. Allen Lazard is the most intriguing option here based on everything that has fallen this offseason in Green Bay. Skyy Moore (22.0) While Gage has been at his best needing to accrue a large dose of targets to absences on the roster, there are paths here for him to still make in impact for fantasy as the WR3 in Tampa. Quarterbacks, running backs, and tight ends can be found in those links while full overall dynasty rankings can be found here. The point of no return for alpha wideouts has historically been age 32. Moore ended the year with 54 catches for 435 yards and one touchdown. Nearly all of these veterans are attached to strong offensive climates and above average quarterback play. is probably the safest here, but he has also turned in WR38 and WR41 scoring seasons per game the past two seasons as his receptions and yardage per game have dropped from the previous year in both. Prior to injury, we were getting more of the 2020 version of JuJu as he was averaging just 8.6 yards per catch and a paltry 4.6 yards per target. This next tier is older than the previous tier but has also given us a larger sample of production to latch onto. The silver lining is that he still received 110 targets (28th) and the Panthers gave him a contract extension before the season that has him still set up to be the WR2 in Carolina, but a major addition at quarterback is still required. 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